Rethinking Transportation 2020-2030 (2017)

We are on the cusp of the fastest, deepest, most consequential disruption of transportation in history.



RethinkX is predicting an overnight sensation that will be no less transformative than the Model T’s erasure of the horse and buggy, the printing press’s impact on literacy and one modern tech gadget’s remaking of communication.



About the Report:

Rethinking Transportation 2020-2030

By 2030, within 10 years of regulatory approval of Autonomous Vehicles (AVs), 95 percent of U.S. passenger miles traveled will be served by on-demand autonomous electric vehicles owned by fleets, not individuals, in a new business model we call “transport-as-a-service” (TaaS).
Rethinking Transportation shows how TaaS disruption will have enormous implications across the transportation and oil industries, decimating entire portions of their value chains, causing oil demand and prices to plummet, and destroying trillions in investor value — but also creating trillions in new business opportunities, consumer surplus and GDP growth.
James Arbib and Tony Seba (RethinkX), May 2017



Supplementary Material:

Rethinking Transportation: Autonomous, Electric, On-demand Vehicles Factsheet

James Arbib and Tony Seba (RethinkX)



Rethinking Transportation Report References:

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124 ibid.

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212 Ibid.

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